The epidemiological projection for Poland and the region in 2025/2026
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15503/emet2025.126.133Słowa kluczowe:
health security; One Health; climate change; migration; population ageing; Civil Protection ActAbstrakt
Aim. Anticipate key public-health threats for Poland in 2025/26 amid climate change, intensified mobility of goods and people, migration, rapid ageing and uneven urban–rural change, within the window created by the Year of Health Education & Prevention and the new Civil Protection Act and EU Council presidency.
Concept. Integrated One Health surveillance and preparedness linking human, animal and environmental signals (clinical, wastewater, border checks) with coordi- nated risk communication and education across sectors.
Results. Climate extremes, zoonotic and food-borne risks (H5N1, Haff disease), rising enteric and nosocomial infections, very low yet monitored COVID-19 activity, post-peak pertussis, stable but persistent HIV/TB burdens, and AI-driven bio- and info-threats; vaccination updates proceed while the new, optional school health-educa- tion course omits critical topics like misinformation and disaster readiness.
Cognitive value. Delivers a concise, forward-looking map of intersecting risks, operationalises One Health beyond rhetoric, and pinpoints surveillance, communica- tion and curricular gaps that policymakers and practitioners can address immediately.
##plugins.generic.usageStats.downloads##
Bibliografia
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). (2025). Highly pathogenic avian influenza: Current situation summary. https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu (Retrieved April 5, 2025)
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). (2025). Weekly updates: 2025 West Nile virus transmission season. https://www.ecdc.europa.eu (Retrieved April 5, 2025)
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2023). Climate change 2023: Sixth assess- ment report, Working Group I, Chapter 11. https://www.ipcc.ch (Retrieved April 5, 2025) Jarynowski, A., Maksymowicz, S., Romanowska, M., & Skawina, I. (2024). Avian influenza: The looming threat of disease X and lessons from Poland and Europe. European Journal of Trans-
lational and Clinical Medicine, 7(2), 5–21. https://doi.org/10.31373/ejtcm/178948 Jarynowski, A., Maksymowicz, S., Romanowska, M., Nowakowska, I., Mokrzycki, P., & Stoch- mal, M. (2025). Powódź 2024 w Polsce w perspektywie społecznych aspektów Jednego Zdrowia publicznego [The 2024 flood in Poland in the context of social aspects of One Public
Health]. IBI. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15288658
Kennedy, R. F., Jr. (2025). HHS moves to restore public trust in vaccines. U.S. Department of
Health and Human Services. https://www.hhs.gov (Retrieved April 5, 2025)
Ministry of National Education (MEN). (2025). Podstawy programowe do przedmiotów: edu- kacja obywatelska i edukacja zdrowotna podpisane przez Minister Edukacji [Core curricula for subjects: civic education and health education signed by the Minister of Education]. Gov. pl. https://www.gov.pl/web/edukacja/podstawy-programowe-do-przedmiotow-edukacja- obywatelska-i-edukacja-zdrowotna-podpisane-przez-minister-edukacji (Retrieved April 5,
Momen. (2025). DeepSeek v3 vs GPT-4o: Which LLM model excels in 2025? https://momen. app (Retrieved April 5, 2025)
Republic of Poland. (2023). Act of 22 December 2023 on civil protection and civil defence (Dz.U. 2024, poz. 17).http://isap.sejm.gov.pl (Retrieved April 5, 2025)
Rzecznik Praw Dziecka (RPD). (2025). Edukacja zdrowotna nieobowiązkowa po złożeniu rezyg- nacji. MEN odpowiada RPD [Health education is optional after resignation submission: Minis- try of Education responds to the Ombudsman]. Biuro Rzecznika Praw Dziecka. https://brpd. gov.pl/2025/02/10/edukacja-zdrowotna-nieobowiazkowa-po-zlozeniu-rezygnacji-men- odpowiada-rpd/ (Retrieved April 5, 2025)
Sewastianowicz, M. (2025). Cyberhigiena w podstawie programowej [Cyber-hygiene in the core curriculum]. Prawo.pl.https://www.prawo.pl/oswiata/cyberhigiena-w-podstawie- programowej%2C531068.html (Retrieved April 5, 2025)
Sołtysiak, A., Żminda, J., Makarova, O., Jarynowski, A., & Belik, V. (2023). Perception of anti- biotics in Polish Internet during the infection season 2023/2024. E-Methodology, 10(10), 49–69. https://doi.org/10.15503/emet2023.49.69
World Health Organization (WHO). (2022). COVID-19 infodemic management policy brief. https://www.who.int(Retrieved April 5, 2025)
Pobrania
Opublikowane
Jak cytować
Numer
Dział
Licencja
Prawa autorskie (c) 2025 Maja Romanowska, Stanisław Maksymowicz, Ireneusz Skawina, Andrzej Jarynowski

Utwór dostępny jest na licencji Creative Commons Uznanie autorstwa 4.0 Międzynarodowe.